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Date
23.03.2022 | 15:00 - 16:00 (CET)

AI-Cafe presents: Realistic Financial Time-Series Generation

Mihai Dogariu
(Assistant professor at University "Politehnica" of Bucharest)

Financial markets have always been a point of interest for automated systems. Due to their complex nature, financial algorithms and fintech frameworks require vast amounts of data to accurately respond to market fluctuations. This data availability is tied to the daily market evolution so it is impossible to accelerate its acquisition. In this presentation, we discuss several solutions for augmenting financial datasets via synthesizing realistic time series with the help of generative models.

This problem is complex since financial time series present very specific properties, e.g., fat-tail distribution, the cross-correlation between different stocks, specific autocorrelation, cluster volatility, etc. In particular, solutions for capturing cross-correlations between different stocks and for transitioning from fixed to variable-length time-series without resorting to sequence modeling networks are presented.

A discussion is carried out on the problem of evaluating the quality of synthetic financial time-series. This presentation also introduces qualitative and quantitative metrics, along with a portfolio trend prediction framework, and discusses experiments carried out on real-world financial data extracted from the US stock market.

Speakers

Mihai Dogariu

Mihai Dogariu is an Assistant professor at University "Politehnica" of Bucharest. He received his Ph.D. degree from the same university in 2021. He is a member of the AI Multimedia Lab and has been actively involved in more than 10 research projects on various topics from the multimedia field. His research interests revolve around Unsupervised learning algorithms, Data generation and Learning with limited examples.